Fantasy Football - Top 10 Quarterbacks for 2012
I would say that quarterbacks, by a large margin, are the most boring, and easiest position to rank in football this year. My rankings tend to be different from the mainstream media's rankings in years passed, but this year they are very similar.
Of course, it is only early July and in most situations on most teams are wait-and-see. However, for the most part, you can just about lock in your top ten to twelve quarterbacks. So here are my top ten quarterbacks for the 2012 season*.
*remember, it's only July, these ARE NOT final.
1. Aaron Rodgers, Packers - He seems to be the consensus number one this year. Rodgers, along with my next quarterback are the safest picks in fantasy for the 2012 season.
2. Tom Brady, Patriots - 39 touchdowns in 2012 and now he adds Brandon Lloyd and hisprimary backs (Stevan Ridley and Shane Vereen) are both pass catchers? That's muy bien. I like Brady for 45 or more touchdowns this season, which is about three a week. Not too shabby for an Ugg model.
3. Drew Brees, Saints - While the losses of Carl Nicks and Robert Meachem certainly hurt Brees, it's still Drew Brees. The loss of those two players aren't subsantial enough for me to move him down in my rankings, but I can almost guarantee he won't put up the record-breaking numbers that he put up in 2011. Also, something of note, in two of the three games that Sean Payton was not on hte sideline bready threw more interceptions than touchdowns with a psser rating below 75. Although that does hurt him, Brees wil be a top five quarterback come December.
4. Matthew Stafford, Lions - We'll see if the Madden Curse effects the Lions this season, but with over 5,000 yards passing in 2011, I wouldn't bet on much of a drop-off in numbers from Stafford. Stafford led the league in dropbacks last season sincethe team was missing Jahvid Best. If he can repeat that and eat an apple a day to keep the doctor away, then Stafford will be a top five quarterback for the second season in a row.
5. Cam Newton, Panthers - Fourteen. The number of rushing touchdowns that Cam Newton ran for in 2011--two more than the number of passing touchdowns that Blaine Gabbert had in 2011 and two less than the entire St. Louis team had. It's certainly going to be tough for Newton to repeat those numbers with the attack coming out of the Panthers' backfield. I do expect Newton to throw a bit more in the red zone this season, and I thik Greg Olsen is going to make a big impact. In 2011 Newton threw just 13% of his targets to the in-line tight end. In 2012, I could see that number going way up with Olsen lining up next to the tackle.
6. Philip Rivers, Chargers - Whether he was hurt or not, Philip Rivers had an awful year in 2011. Despite the major down year, Rivers was still a top ten quarterback in many leagues. All though that's weak sauce for where he was drafted in most leagues, it certainly isn't bad. Although the departure of Vincent Jackson will hurt him, I think a healthy Antonio Gates, a mature Vincent Brown, and the additions of Robert Meachem and Eddie Royal will help a lot. I think you can expect at least 30 touchdowns after just 27 last year.
7. Michael Vick, Eagles - Another disappointment in 2012, Vick should bounce back huge this season if he can stay healthy. When you draft Vick you have to understand the risk you are taking the way he scrambles constantly. However, the possibility of Vick playing all 16 games with consistent production could break records if he plays anything like he did in 2010.He's got the targets around him, so if he's going to do it, now would be the time.
8. Tony Romo, Cowboys - The departure of Laurent Robinson shouldn't be a big impact for Romo's stats as long asDez Bryant, Miles Austin, Demarco Murray and Jason Witten can all stay on the field. Romo has consistenyl been a top ten fantasy quarterbacks, and if his offensive line cangive him some protection, we could see a big year form Romo. All though a more balanced attack from Murray will drop Romo's chances to throw the ball, I think it will turn out to be a plus for his statistics. A third wide receiver emerging from Andre Holmes, Dwayne Harris and Kevin Ogletree would just be another plus for Romo.
9. Eli Manning, Giants - You could say that Manning had the best season of his career last year, and I wouldn't argue. However, most people think he was more productive than he actually was just because of his postseason. Even in his best year yet in 2011, he was the sixth quarterback in terms of scoring.While Rueben Randle will be a competent replacement for Mario Manningham in 2012, I don't see Manning keeping his TD-INT ratio (up from 1.9-1.6 per game in 2010 to 1.9-0.9 per game in 2010) and I also don't see him getting within a mile of his 4,933 yard mark from 2011. I don't we'll see that kind of production from Manning ever again in his career.
10. Matt Ryan, Falcons - Is this the year for Matt Ryan? With Roddy White, Julio Jones and Tony Gonzalez at the helm, Ryan could put up some of the biggest numbers of his career. However, his receivers dropped 43 balls last season, about 20 more than his team in 2010 did. Look for Ryan to post about 4,300 yards, 30 touchdowns, and 12 interceptions this season
Here are the rest of my quarterback rankings for the time being:
11. Peyton Manning
12. Josh Freeman
13. Ben Roethlisberger
14. Robert Griffin III
15. Jay Cutler
16. Matt Schaub
17. Joe Flacco
18. Any Dalton
19. Carson Palmer
20. Christian Ponder
Thanks for reading! I'll be back with my running backs soon! Untl then, you can follow me on Twitter, @TheFFAddict, and I'd be glad to answer your questions about your upcoming draft!